
Ode to the 737
Our award for 2009's Best News Story That
Almost No One Heard Of goes to the employees of The Boeing
Company.
In 2009, while the region was deluged in news about the
Great Recession, 787 set backs and the decision to expand into South
Carolina, production teams at Boeing cranked out 481 commercial
jetliners.
It was Boeing's largest aircraft production year since
2001. Deliveries were up 28% over strike impacted 2008, up 9% over 2007
and 71% over 2003, the most recent aircraft production low
point.
This did not mean Boeing had a profitable year. Penalties
for 787 delays and other problems helped shred the bottom line. But few
things are better for our regional economy than a strong Boeing production
year, and however awful your 2009 was, odds are it would have been worse
if so many airplanes weren't rolling off local assembly
lines.
According to Washington state tax records, aircraft
manufacturing produced gross business revenues of nearly $20 billion in
the first half of 2009. That was up 10% from the pre-strike first half of
2008. Aircraft also accounted for more revenue than the combined totals
for all Washington state companies engaged in banking, real estate,
insurance, telephone service, telecommunications, legal services,
accounting and department stores ($18 billion).
Aerospace industry
analysts are fairly gloomy about the production year ahead because most of
the airplanes built today were ordered well before the financial meltdown.
Worse, some say 2009 production was artificially stimulated by government
programs to finance airplane purchases both in the US and in
Europe.
But, enough negativity. It takes a lot of effort to build
481 jet liners in a period of 12 months, so let's give the production
level the praise it deserves and take a moment to appreciate what it tells
us about some big points that got lost in the news about South
Carolina.
Boeing today possesses a record backlog of 3,375
airplane orders and because of the projected growth in world air travel,
Boeing believes the world may need more than 29,000 new airplanes over the
next 20 years.
Seattle Industry possesses absolutely no
inside knowledge regarding Boeing's corporate approach to all this, but we
suspect one goal is to make as much money as is humanly possible, and for
our money that will mean building thousands if not tens of thousands of
new airplanes right where they're built today, namely within 40-minutes
driving time of the Space Needle.
How can we make such an
assertion, given the decision to head south to Carolina?
Well, look
at the numbers. According to the press releases, if the new assembly line
in South Carolina comes together as planned, Boeing hopes the Carolinians
will be able to build 3 Dreamliners a month by 2013. That's "three"
airplanes per month.
In 2009, Boeing employees in Washington turned
out three airplanes every two days.
Carolina may possess growth
potential, and it might become an important asset in the Boeing family
feud over labor relations, but if, as or after Carolina grows, Boeing will
need to keep building hundreds of airplanes every year to keep up with
global demand and our region remains the only place in the world where
Boeing has the industrial capacity to help achieve that type of
production.
This should be reassuring, but it is not a reason for
complacency.
To build hundreds of airplanes in our region every
year, people and goods must be able to flow between Renton, Everett and
Boeing Field. We also need an on-going supply of highly skilled workers.
Sounds simple enough, but our public processes for meeting these basic
transportation and workforce needs are far from optimal. But, those are
topics and challenges for another day.
We'll conclude this report
in an upbeat mode and with a brief Ode to the 737.
Many of us might
be awed by the 747, admire the 777, and remain hopeful for the fuel
efficient future of the 787. But, the past, present and future of
Washington state aircraft manufacturing remains pretty firmly tied to that
good old reliable, the 737.
The single-aisle jet was first built
in 1967 as part of the program to replace the historic 707 and as the 737
advances deeper into its fifth decade of production, it remains a linchpin
to Boeing plans for the future.
Of the 481 airplanes completed by
Boeing employees in 2009, 372 of them were 737s. That was 77% of the
total. The model also accounts for nearly 62% of Boeing's record backlog
and the 737 or an airplane much like it is expected to account for about
two thirds of the 29,000 new airplanes needed over the next 20 years.
The larger wide-bodied jets might appeal more to the imagination,
but the 737 is much better suited to serving the relatively short direct
flights that are expected to grow so dramatically with the rise in
world-wide air travel.
The wide bodied jets from Everett tend to
make the news while Renton just makes airplanes, and in 2009, our region
was lucky Renton made so many of them.
Keeping Freight Moving During Major
Transportation Disruptions
Washington will implement the Commercial Vehicle (CV) pass system
when major truck freight highways are closed or severely restricted and a
limited capacity highway detour is available. CV passes will be issued
based on the highway detour's capacity and the priority of goods
carried.
You are invited to attend an informational briefing on
Washington State's new Commercial Vehicle Pass system:
- Wednesday,
January 20: 1 - 3pm at the WSDOT South Central Region Headquarters, 2809
Rudkin Rd, Union Gap, WA
- Thursday, January 21: 10:00 am -
12:00pm at the WSDOT Northwest Region Headquarters, 15700 Dayton Ave. N.,
Shoreline, WA
- Friday, January 22: 1 - 3pm at the WSDOT Southwest
Region Headquarters, 11018 NE 51st Circle, Vancouver, WA
-
Wednesday, February 3: 1 - 3pm at the WSDOT Eastern Region
Headquarters, 2714 North Mayfair St., Spokane, WA
Keeping
freight moving during major transportation disruptions is key to
supporting the state's economy and jobs, and to ensure that our citizens'
essential needs are met. The Washington State Department of Transportation
(WSDOT), in partnership with the Washington State Emergency Management
Division (EMD) of the Washington Military Department, Washington State
National Guard and the Washington State Patrol (WSP), have developed a new
Commercial Vehicle Pass system that will support the state's emergency
responders, citizens' needs, and the economy by safely and efficiently
authorizing emergency, essential and other goods delivery to and through
affected areas during a highway disruption of two to seven days
duration.
When the new CV pass system is operational in 2010 and a
highway disruption occurs, shippers and trucking companies will be able to
request and receive CV passes on-line. The CV pass will be affixed to the
truck cab window and used to authorize entry onto detours at highway
checkpoints.
To learn more about the new Commercial Vehicle Pass
system and try out the online system, please RSVP to Joy Dopita
atdopitaj@wsdot.wa.gov indicating which briefing session you plan to
attend, your company name, representative's name and email address, by
January 18.
If you cannot attend a briefing session, look for more
information to be distributed through the WSDOT freight notification
system and the Washington Trucking Association
